According to Crypto Rover, U.S. jobless claims are expected to drop to 225,000 from a previous 223,000. If the claims are higher than expected, it could cause a significant surge in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. This suggests that the cryptocurrency market is highly sensitive to U.S. economic indicators, which traders should monitor closely.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the S&P 500 has decreased by 6.5% since its peak on February 19th, after experiencing a 10% drawdown in early March. Historically, if stocks drop another 5% on average within the next 150 days, it signals a recession in the US economy.

According to @KobeissiLetter, Canada's Small Business Confidence Index has collapsed nearly -60% within months, reaching levels lower than those during the 2008 Financial Crisis. This drastic decline in sentiment is raising concerns about a potential recession in Canada, as businesses face increasing uncertainties. Traders should monitor Canadian economic indicators closely for potential impacts on currency and stock markets.

According to @KobeissiLetter, Canada's Small Business Confidence Index has collapsed nearly 60% in recent months, falling below levels even seen during the 2008 Financial Crisis. This significant drop indicates potential economic challenges, possibly signaling a recessionary trend. Traders should closely monitor Canadian economic indicators for potential impacts on CAD and related assets.

According to Milk Road, consumers are increasingly using installment payment methods for low-cost purchases, such as a $6.50 burrito from Chipotle. This reflects a broader trend in consumer spending behavior that may impact financial markets, as easy credit access can lead to increased consumer spending and potential liquidity issues. Analysts suggest monitoring how these micro-transactions influence larger economic indicators and consumer credit health.

According to André Dragosch, PhD, the macro environment has significantly improved, which can have a positive impact on cryptocurrency trading conditions. Traders should monitor macroeconomic indicators as they can influence market volatility and asset prices (source: André Dragosch's Twitter).

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the annual income required to afford an average home in the US has reached an all-time high of $124,200, significantly outpacing the median US household income of $79,200. This creates a substantial affordability gap of $45,000, highlighting the growing challenge for potential homeowners.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the annual income required to afford an average home in the US has reached an all-time high of $124,200, significantly outpacing the median US household income of $79,200. This creates a substantial affordability gap of $45,000, highlighting the growing challenge for potential homeowners.

According to Crypto Rover (@rovercrc), the FED FOMC meeting today is expected to trigger significant Bitcoin volatility. Traders should prepare for potential market movements as the outcome of the meeting could influence Bitcoin's price direction.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, only 63% of Americans can afford a $2,000 emergency, marking the lowest level in at least a decade. This figure has dropped by 9 percentage points since February 2020, as reported by the NY Fed. The decline in financial resilience comes amid record-high household debt levels.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, Deutsche Bank's analysis of 60 S&P 500 corrections reveals that 12% of these corrections were preceded by a recession within the previous 12 months. This data suggests a nuanced relationship between market corrections and economic recessions, providing traders with historical context to assess current market conditions.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, Deutsche Bank analysis reveals that out of 60 S&P 500 corrections, including the most recent one, 12% of these corrections were preceded by a recession within the previous 12 months. This data suggests a nuanced relationship between market corrections and economic recessions, highlighting the importance of monitoring broader economic indicators alongside market performance for trading strategies.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the Nasdaq 100 has extended its decline to over -315 points in a single day, while the S&P 500 is down -80 points from its high just before the close yesterday. This downturn is attributed to rising geopolitical tensions and mounting trade war worries.

According to @Andre_Dragosch, a recession is already anticipated by the market, suggesting that this public information is likely already priced into current market prices. This insight, shared by @bravosresearch, indicates that traders should consider the possibility that recession-related risks are reflected in asset valuations, potentially limiting the impact of future recession announcements on market movements.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, Japan's base pay for workers increased by 3.1% year-over-year in January, marking the largest jump in 32 years. Wages excluding bonuses and overtime rose by 3.0%, the highest since July 2024. This acceleration in salary increases is attributed to a tightening labor market in Japan, indicating potential impacts on consumer spending and inflation rates.

According to @KobeissiLetter, US consumers' expectations about their financial situation have plummeted to an 11-year low, signaling heightened concerns over inflation. Investors are preparing for increased market volatility as a result. This development suggests a cautious approach for traders, with a focus on volatility-sensitive assets.

According to Milk Road, Truflation reports the current inflation rate at 1.32%, with indications that the real inflation rate might be even lower. This information could influence trading strategies, especially in sectors sensitive to inflation rates.

According to Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL), the CPI data coming in lower than expected, along with monthly data also being lower than expected, signals the start of a great bull market for Crypto and Altcoins. This suggests a favorable trading environment for these assets.

According to Cas Abbé, the US CPI data release today at 8:30 AM ET is highly anticipated, with a market consensus expecting a 2.9% YoY increase. A CPI higher than 2.9% could negatively impact the markets, while a CPI equal to 2.9% might result in a small market pump. A CPI lower than 2.9% is expected to lead to a market pump, indicating potential trading opportunities based on the CPI outcome.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the share of subprime car borrowers at least 60 days past due on their loans reached 6.6% in January, marking the highest level in at least 30 years. This figure has doubled over the last 3.5 years, surpassing delinquency rates seen in 2020, 2008, and previous peaks. This trend indicates increasing financial stress among subprime borrowers, which could have broader implications for the auto loan market and related financial sectors.